The AFC race still has a lot to be decided with just three weeks to go so let’s take a look at the teams involved, and in particular the Dolphins chances.
AFC race: Kansas City Chiefs (12-1)
The Chiefs Sit on top the AFC West and, they have already clinched the title and automatic playoff place, with the chances of taking the No. 1 seed being greatly increased with the Steelers loosing two straight games to Washington and the Bills.
Winning two of the remaining games would clinch the number 1 seed giving home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs as long as they beat the Chargers in week 17. With a hard game against the Saints will finish the season 14 and 2
Remaining games – Saints(A), Falcons(H) and Chargers(H)
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2)
The Steelers have already clinched a play-off place but having lost their last 2 games to Washington and the Bills, they must win all their remaining games and hope the Chiefs loose two of their games to clinch No. 1 seed, and a win against the Browns would clinch the AFC North title, hiwever I think they will only win 1 more game finishing 12 and 4 winning the division over the Browns on division wins percentage.
Remaining games – Bengals(A), Colts(H) and Browns(A).
Buffalo Bills (10-3)
Beating the Steelers on Sunday almost makes their chances of the playoffs almost certain a win next week would clinch a playoff spot.
The Bills are two games ahead of the Miami Dolphins in the AFC race, and a division title is theirs to lose. If they beat the Dolphins in Week 17, it’s theirs even if they lose their next two games. I think will struggle against the Broncos and Dolphins and finish the season 11 and 5
Remaining games – Broncos(H), Patriots(H) and Dolphins(H)
Along with the Colts, the Titans should make the playoffs. They are separated over Colts based on best win percentage in division games. They have a hard game against the Packers and will finish season 11 and 5 winning the division on conference win percentage.
Remaining games – Lions(H), Packers(A) and Texans(A)
Cleveland Browns (9-4)
Lost to the Baltimore Ravens on Monday, reducing their chances of making the playoffs slightly I think they will win all of their remaining games finishing the season 12 and 4 finishing division in second place.
Remaining games in the AFC race – Giants(A), Jets(A) and Steelers(H)
Indianapolis Colts (9-4)
Beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, boosting their chances of making the playoffs.
They should win 2 of their remains games finishing the season on 11 and 5.
Remaining games – Texans(H), Steelers(H) and Jaguars(H)
Miami Dolphins (8-5)
The injuries are piling up for the Dolphins at the worst time possible with the AFC race heating up. Their best running back, Myles Gaskin, might not be off the reserve/COVID-19 list in time for this weeks game against the Patriots. Tua Tagovailoa is battling an ankle injury, while the top three wide receivers DeVante Parker, Mike Gesicki and Jakeem Grant all left Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs with injuries.
Winning the last three challenging games ahead against the Patriots (6-7), Raiders (7-6) and Bills(10-3) will however get the Dolphins in the play offs. There is however a small margin for error that decreases with every injury. If Brian Flores can somehow get the Dolphins to the wild-card round who know what they can do. I think the Dolphins will win all 3 remaining games finishing the season 11 and 5 to take the division for the first time since 2008.
Remaining games in AFC race – Patriots(H), Raiders(A) and Bills(A)
Baltimore Ravens (8-5)
Beat the Cleveland Browns on Monday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs. They should win their remaining games finishing 11 and 5 .
Remaining games – Jaguars(H), Giants(H) and Bengals(A)
Las Vegas Raiders (7-6)
Lost to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, reducing their chances of making the playoffs.
I think they will win 1 of their remaining games finishing the season on 8 and 8.
Remaining games in AFC race – Chargers(H), Dolphins(H) and Broncos(A)